4 Jul · 16:00 MESZ · 🏸 Canada OpenHigh · Clear Favorite
ZL
🇲🇾Zii Jia Lee
ELO 1525
FormWWLLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Takei
RT
🇯🇵Riki Takei
ELO 1546
FormWWWLW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Takei
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~85 pts
0-2
44%
2-0
28%
1-2
16%
2-1
12%
Elo Gap+21
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.