4 Jul · 18:10 MESZ · 🏸 Peru Int. WomenHigh · Clear Favorite
IS
🇵🇪Ines Lucia Castillo Salazar
ELO 1509
FormWWLLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Stadelmann
JS
🇨🇭Jenjira Stadelmann
ELO 1532
FormWW
39%
61%
Fair odds · Stadelmann
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~85 pts
0-2
46%
2-0
25%
1-2
15%
2-1
14%
Elo Gap+23
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.