5 Jul · 17:00 MESZ · 🏸 Peru Int.Low · Coin Flip
DA
🇱🇰Dumindu Abeywickrama
ELO 1543
FormWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Toti
GT
🇮🇹Giovanni Toti
ELO 1544
FormWWWWL
49%
51%
Fair odds · Toti
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~85 pts
0-2
37%
2-0
34%
2-1
15%
1-2
14%
Elo Gap+1
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.