14 Jul · 02:00 MESZ · 🏸 Japan OpenHigh · Clear Favorite
YC
🇹🇼Yu Jen Chi
ELO 1486
FormLLLWW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Chi
JL
🇲🇾Jun Hao Leong
ELO 1456
FormLWLLL
64%
36%
Fair odds · Chi
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 55% · 1.83· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~85 pts
2-0
48%
0-2
23%
2-1
16%
1-2
13%
Elo Gap+30
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.