14 Jul · 02:00 MESZ · 🏸 Japan Open WomenLow · Coin Flip
RI
🇹🇭Ratchanok Intanon
ELO 1536
FormLLWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Sim
YS
🇰🇷Yujin Sim
ELO 1537
FormLWWWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Sim
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~85 pts
0-2
37%
2-0
35%
2-1
15%
1-2
14%
Elo Gap+1
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.