15 Jul · 02:00 MESZ · 🏸 Japan Open WomenLow · Coin Flip
NY
🇹🇷Neslihan Yigit
ELO 1568
FormLLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Yigit
PO
🇹🇭Pitchamon Opatniputh
ELO 1564
FormLWLWW
51%
49%
Fair odds · Yigit
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 28% · 3.62· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~85 pts
2-0
37%
0-2
34%
1-2
15%
2-1
14%
Elo Gap+4
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.