15 Jul · 02:00 MESZ · 🏸 Japan Open WomenElite · Strong Favorite
NN
🇯🇵Natsuki Nidaira
ELO 1504
FormLWLWL
96%Win chancemodel fair 1.04Yamaguchi
AY
🇯🇵Akane Yamaguchi
ELO 1776
FormWWWWW
4%
96%
Fair odds · Yamaguchi
Model 96% · 1.04vsMarket 89% · 1.12· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 75%Total ~83 pts
0-2
75%
1-2
20%
2-1
3%
2-0
2%
Elo Gap+272
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+272)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)