14 Jul · 02:00 MESZ · 🏸 Japan OpenLow · Slight Edge
KN
🇭🇰Ka Long Angus Ng
ELO 1499
FormLWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Teh
JT
🇸🇬Jia Heng Jason Teh
ELO 1506
FormLWWLL
46%
54%
Fair odds · Teh
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 46% · 2.17· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~85 pts
0-2
39%
2-0
32%
1-2
14%
2-1
14%
Elo Gap+7
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.