14 Jul · 02:00 MESZ · 🏸 Japan OpenElite · Strong Favorite
MU
🇮🇩Moh. Zaki Ubaidillah
ELO 1544
FormLWWWL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Ubaidillah
RG
🇩🇰Rasmus Gemke
ELO 1506
FormLWWL
68%
32%
Fair odds · Ubaidillah
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~85 pts
2-0
51%
0-2
21%
2-1
17%
1-2
12%
Elo Gap+38
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.