14 Jul · 02:00 MESZ · 🏸 Japan OpenMedium · Model Lean
NN
🇮🇪Nhat Nguyen
ELO 1526
FormLWLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Chou
TC
🇹🇼Tien Chen Chou
ELO 1542
FormLWLWL
42%
58%
Fair odds · Chou
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~85 pts
0-2
42%
2-0
30%
1-2
16%
2-1
13%
Elo Gap+16
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.