14 Jul · 02:00 MESZ · 🏸 Japan OpenMedium · Model Lean
TP
🇫🇷Toma Junior Popov
ELO 1554
FormLWLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Antonsen
AA
🇩🇰Anders Antonsen
ELO 1564
FormLLWWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Antonsen
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 72% · 1.40· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~85 pts
0-2
40%
2-0
31%
1-2
15%
2-1
14%
Elo Gap+10
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)