14 Jul · 02:00 MESZ · 🏸 Japan Open WomenElite · Strong Favorite
NN
🇯🇵Natsuki Nidaira
ELO 1492
FormLWLWL
95%Win chancemodel fair 1.05Yamaguchi
AY
🇯🇵Akane Yamaguchi
ELO 1646
FormWWWWW
5%
95%
Fair odds · Yamaguchi
Model 95% · 1.05vsMarket 89% · 1.13· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 75%Total ~83 pts
0-2
75%
1-2
20%
2-1
3%
2-0
2%
Elo Gap+154
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+154)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)