14 Jul · 06:10 MESZ · 🏸 Japan Open WomenElite · Strong Favorite
BO
🇹🇭Busanan Ongbumrungpan
ELO 1494
FormWWLLL
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Li
ML
🇨🇦Michelle Li
ELO 1596
FormLWWWW
24%
76%
Fair odds · Li
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~84 pts
0-2
57%
1-2
20%
2-0
17%
2-1
6%
Elo Gap+102
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+102)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)