16 Jul · 02:00 MESZ · 🏸 Japan OpenHigh · Clear Favorite
CL
🇭🇰Cheuk Yiu Lee
ELO 1536
FormWLWLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Tanaka
YT
🇯🇵Yushi Tanaka
ELO 1574
FormWLWLW
39%
61%
Fair odds · Tanaka
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 58% · 1.74· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~85 pts
0-2
46%
2-0
25%
1-2
15%
2-1
14%
Elo Gap+38
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.