22 Jul · 03:00 MESZ · 🏸 China Open WomenHigh · Clear Favorite
NY
🇹🇷Neslihan Yigit
ELO 1558
FormLLLLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Yigit
YH
🇨🇳Yue Han
ELO 1519
FormLWWWL
61%
39%
Fair odds · Yigit
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 10% · 9.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~85 pts
2-0
46%
0-2
25%
2-1
15%
1-2
14%
Elo Gap+39
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.