22 Jul · 03:00 MESZ · 🏸 China Open WomenMedium · Model Lean
RG
🇯🇵Riko Gunji
ELO 1616
FormLWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Gunji
TM
🇯🇵Tomoka Miyazaki
ELO 1586
FormLLWWL
58%
42%
⚡ Cover lean · Gunji
Fair odds · Gunji
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~85 pts
2-0
43%
0-2
29%
2-1
16%
1-2
13%
Elo Gap+30
H2H0-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)