22 Jul · 03:00 MESZ · 🏸 China OpenLow · Slight Edge
LS
🇮🇳Lakshya Sen
ELO 1572
FormLLLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Tanaka
YT
🇯🇵Yushi Tanaka
ELO 1584
FormLLWWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Tanaka
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 47% · 2.15· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~85 pts
0-2
39%
2-0
32%
1-2
14%
2-1
14%
Elo Gap+12
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.