21 Jul · 11:20 MESZ · 🏸 China Open WomenLow · Slight Edge
KL
🇲🇾Karupathevan Letshanaa
ELO 1512
FormLLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Zhang
BZ
🇺🇸Beiwen Zhang
ELO 1519
FormLLWWW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Zhang
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 46% · 2.15· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~85 pts
0-2
38%
2-0
33%
2-1
15%
1-2
14%
Elo Gap+7
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.