23 Jul · 03:00 MESZ · 🏸 China Open WomenMedium · Model Lean
YC
🇨🇳Yufei Chen
ELO 1647
FormWLWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Chen
PS
🇮🇳Pusarla V. Sindhu
ELO 1616
FormWWWWW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Chen
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~85 pts
2-0
43%
0-2
29%
2-1
16%
1-2
12%
Elo Gap+31
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.