23 Jul · 03:00 MESZ · 🏸 China OpenMedium · Model Lean
KL
🇸🇬Kean Yew Loh
ELO 1591
FormWLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Christie
JC
🇮🇩Jonatan Christie
ELO 1616
FormWLLWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Christie
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~85 pts
0-2
42%
2-0
30%
1-2
15%
2-1
13%
Elo Gap+25
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.