24 Jul · 03:00 MESZ · 🏸 China OpenHigh · Clear Favorite
HW
🇨🇳Hongyang Weng
ELO 1562
FormWWLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Lin
CL
🇹🇼Chun-Yi Lin
ELO 1598
FormWWLLW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Lin
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 51% · 1.94· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~85 pts
0-2
45%
2-0
25%
1-2
15%
2-1
15%
Elo Gap+36
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.