25 Jul · 03:00 MESZ · 🏸 China OpenLow · Slight Edge
TC
🇹🇼Tien Chen Chou
ELO 1619
FormWWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Chou
CL
🇹🇼Chun-Yi Lin
ELO 1605
FormWWWLL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Chou
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.74· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~85 pts
2-0
39%
0-2
32%
2-1
15%
1-2
14%
Elo Gap+14
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.