25 Jul · 07:20 MESZ · 🏸 China Open WomenHigh · Clear Favorite
YC
🇨🇳Yufei Chen
ELO 1666
FormWWWLW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Chen
TM
🇯🇵Tomoka Miyazaki
ELO 1618
FormWWWLL
64%
36%
Fair odds · Chen
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 78% · 1.28· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~85 pts
2-0
48%
0-2
23%
2-1
16%
1-2
13%
Elo Gap+48
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)