28 Jul · 03:00 MESZ · 🏸 Taipei Open Women QualHigh · Clear Favorite
IJ
🇺🇸Ishika Jaiswal
ELO 1472
FormLLLLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Jaiswal
TL
🇹🇼Ting Yu Liang
ELO 1436
FormLLLW
60%
40%
Fair odds · Jaiswal
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~85 pts
2-0
45%
0-2
25%
2-1
15%
1-2
14%
Elo Gap+36
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.