28 Jul · 03:00 MESZ · 🏸 Taipei Open QualMedium · Model Lean
GT
🇺🇸Garret Tan
ELO 1480
FormLLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Tan
SS
🇮🇳S. Sankar Muthusamy Subramanian
ELO 1460
FormLLLLW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Tan
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 28% · 3.62· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~85 pts
2-0
41%
0-2
31%
2-1
15%
1-2
13%
Elo Gap+20
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.