28 Jul · 03:00 MESZ · 🏸 Taipei Open QualMedium · Model Lean
YT
🇹🇼Yen-Chen Ting
ELO 1529
FormLWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Ting
MK
🇩🇪Matthias Kicklitz
ELO 1509
FormLWLWW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Ting
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 61% · 1.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~85 pts
2-0
41%
0-2
31%
2-1
15%
1-2
13%
Elo Gap+20
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.