29 Jul · 03:00 MESZ · 🏸 Taipei Open WomenMedium · Model Lean
CH
🇹🇼Ching Ping Huang
ELO 1497
FormLLWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Suizu
MS
🇯🇵Manami Suizu
ELO 1514
FormLW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Suizu
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~85 pts
0-2
40%
2-0
31%
1-2
15%
2-1
14%
Elo Gap+17
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.