29 Jul · 03:00 MESZ · 🏸 Taipei OpenMedium · Model Lean
HJ
🇰🇷Hyeok Jin Jeon
ELO 1506
FormLLWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Jeon
TM
🇮🇳Tharun Mannepalli
ELO 1481
FormLWLLL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Jeon
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~85 pts
2-0
42%
0-2
30%
2-1
15%
1-2
13%
Elo Gap+25
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.