29 Jul · 03:00 MESZ · 🏸 Taipei OpenLow · Slight Edge
MM
🇮🇳Mithun Manjunath
ELO 1523
FormL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Manjunath
JG
🇭🇰Jason Gunawan
ELO 1510
FormLLWWW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Manjunath
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 28% · 3.62· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~85 pts
2-0
39%
0-2
32%
2-1
15%
1-2
14%
Elo Gap+13
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.