28 Jul · 05:30 MESZ · 🏸 Taipei Open Women QualLow · Slight Edge
YH
🇹🇼Yi-Ting Hung
ELO 1449
FormLWLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Hung
TL
🇹🇼Ting Yu Liang
ELO 1436
FormLLLW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Hung
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~85 pts
2-0
39%
0-2
32%
2-1
15%
1-2
14%
Elo Gap+13
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.