30 Jul · 04:00 MESZ · 🏸 Taipei Open WomenMedium · Model Lean
AK
🇮🇳Anmol Kharb
ELO 1502
FormWLLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Lin
HL
🇹🇼Hsiang Ti Lin
ELO 1531
FormWLLWL
42%
58%
Fair odds · Lin
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~85 pts
0-2
43%
2-0
29%
1-2
16%
2-1
13%
Elo Gap+29
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.