1 Aug · 08:05 MESZ · 🏸 Taipei OpenMedium · Model Lean
TY
🇰🇷Tae Bin Yoo
ELO 1637
FormWWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Yoo
CL
🇹🇼Chun-Yi Lin
ELO 1621
FormWWWLW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Yoo
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 26% · 3.78· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~85 pts
2-0
40%
0-2
31%
2-1
15%
1-2
14%
Elo Gap+16
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.