1 Aug · 11:50 MESZ · 🏸 Taipei OpenLow · Coin Flip
TC
🇹🇼Tien Chen Chou
ELO 1674
FormWWWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Okimoto
YO
🇯🇵Yudai Okimoto
ELO 1677
FormWWWWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Okimoto
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 38% · 2.67· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~85 pts
0-2
37%
2-0
34%
2-1
15%
1-2
14%
Elo Gap+3
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.