4 Aug · 02:00 MESZ · 🏸 Korea Masters QualLow · Coin Flip
SO
🇯🇵Shogo Ogawa
ELO 1496
FormLWLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Wang
ZW
🇨🇳Zi Jun Wang
ELO 1496
FormLW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Wang
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~85 pts
0-2
37%
2-0
35%
2-1
15%
1-2
14%
Elo Gap+0
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.