5 Aug · 02:00 MESZ · 🏸 Korea MastersMedium · Model Lean
EE
🇲🇾Eogene Ewe
ELO 1532
FormLLWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Lee
ZL
🇲🇾Zii Jia Lee
ELO 1549
FormLWLWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Lee
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~85 pts
0-2
40%
2-0
31%
1-2
15%
2-1
14%
Elo Gap+17
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.