6 Aug · 05:50 MESZ · 🏸 Korea MastersLow · Slight Edge
XZ
🇨🇳Xuan Chen Zhu
ELO 1611
FormWWLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Dubovenko
DD
🇮🇱Daniil Dubovenko
ELO 1620
FormWLWWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Dubovenko
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 22% · 4.49· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~85 pts
0-2
38%
2-0
33%
2-1
14%
1-2
14%
Elo Gap+9
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.