7 Aug · 05:50 MESZ · 🏸 Korea Masters WomenMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇰🇷Min Sun Kim
ELO 1529
FormWWWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kim
GK
🇰🇷Ga Ram Kim
ELO 1545
FormWWWWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Kim
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~85 pts
0-2
40%
2-0
32%
1-2
15%
2-1
14%
Elo Gap+16
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.