17 Aug · 07:00 MESZ · 🏸 World ChampionshipsHigh · Clear Favorite
DO
🇧🇷Donnians Oliveira
ELO 1515
FormLWWWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Toti
GT
🇮🇹Giovanni Toti
ELO 1551
FormWWWWW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Toti
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~85 pts
0-2
45%
2-0
25%
1-2
15%
2-1
15%
Elo Gap+36
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.