17 Aug · 07:00 MESZ · 🏸 World ChampionshipsMedium · Model Lean
AD
🇭🇷Aria Dinata
ELO 1552
FormLWLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Dinata
NN
🇮🇪Nhat Nguyen
ELO 1528
FormLWWLW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Dinata
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 21% · 4.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~85 pts
2-0
42%
0-2
30%
2-1
15%
1-2
13%
Elo Gap+24
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.