17 Aug · 07:00 MESZ · 🏸 World ChampionshipsMedium · Model Lean
TP
🇫🇷Toma Junior Popov
ELO 1577
FormLLWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kwinta
DK
🇵🇱Dominik Kwinta
ELO 1593
FormLWWLW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Kwinta
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 10% · 9.65· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~85 pts
0-2
40%
2-0
32%
1-2
15%
2-1
14%
Elo Gap+16
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.