17 Aug · 07:00 MESZ · 🏸 World ChampionshipsLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇵🇱Mikolaj Szymanowski
ELO 1515
FormLWLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Szymanowski
HH
🇲🇲Hein Htut
ELO 1507
FormWWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Szymanowski
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~85 pts
2-0
38%
0-2
33%
1-2
14%
2-1
14%
Elo Gap+8
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.