17 Aug · 07:00 MESZ · 🏸 World ChampionshipsLow · Slight Edge
JT
🇸🇬Jia Heng Jason Teh
ELO 1499
FormLLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Teh
FC
🇮🇹Fabio Caponio
ELO 1493
FormLLWLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Teh
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 84% · 1.19· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~85 pts
2-0
38%
0-2
34%
1-2
15%
2-1
14%
Elo Gap+6
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.