17 Aug · 07:00 MESZ · 🏸 World ChampionshipsLow · Slight Edge
EL
🇳🇿Edward Lau
ELO 1472
FormL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Ng
KN
🇭🇰Ka Long Angus Ng
ELO 1481
FormLLLWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Ng
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 90% · 1.12· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~85 pts
0-2
38%
2-0
33%
2-1
14%
1-2
14%
Elo Gap+9
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.