17 Aug · 07:00 MESZ · 🏸 World ChampionshipsMedium · Model Lean
TK
🇨🇭Tobias Kuenzi
ELO 1456
FormLLLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Tan
GT
🇺🇸Garret Tan
ELO 1479
FormLWLLL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Tan
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~85 pts
0-2
41%
2-0
30%
1-2
15%
2-1
13%
Elo Gap+23
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.