17 Aug · 07:00 MESZ · 🏸 World ChampionshipsMedium · Model Lean
CF
🇦🇹Collins Valentine Filimon
ELO 1539
FormLWLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Sen
LS
🇮🇳Lakshya Sen
ELO 1570
FormLWLLL
41%
59%
Fair odds · Sen
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 91% · 1.10· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~85 pts
0-2
43%
2-0
29%
1-2
16%
2-1
13%
Elo Gap+31
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.