13 Aug · 04:45 MESZ · 🏸 Malaysia Int.High · Clear Favorite
SO
🇯🇵Shogo Ogawa
ELO 1513
FormLWWLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Ding
HD
🇸🇬Han Jin Ding
ELO 1548
FormLWWLW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Ding
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 6% · 15.85· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~85 pts
0-2
45%
2-0
25%
1-2
15%
2-1
15%
Elo Gap+35
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.