13 Aug · 04:10 MESZ · 🏸 Malaysia Int.Medium · Model Lean
DP
🇦🇿Dicky Dwi Pangestu
ELO 1463
FormLLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Masumoto
KM
🇯🇵Kosuke Masumoto
ELO 1489
FormL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Masumoto
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~85 pts
0-2
42%
2-0
30%
1-2
15%
2-1
13%
Elo Gap+26
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.