13 Aug · 05:55 MESZ · 🏸 Malaysia Int.Medium · Model Lean
CV
🇵🇭Clarence Villaflor
ELO 1553
FormLWLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Villaflor
RK
🇮🇳Rithvik Sanjeevi Satish Kumar
ELO 1527
FormLLWWW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Villaflor
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 29% · 3.44· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~85 pts
2-0
42%
0-2
29%
2-1
16%
1-2
13%
Elo Gap+26
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.