13 Aug · 05:55 MESZ · 🏸 Malaysia Int. WomenLow · Coin Flip
PP
🇹🇭Passa-Orn Phannachet
ELO 1553
FormLLLWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Hisaminato
NH
🇯🇵Nana Hisaminato
ELO 1555
FormWWLWW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Hisaminato
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~85 pts
0-2
37%
2-0
34%
2-1
15%
1-2
14%
Elo Gap+2
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.