14 Aug · 05:00 MESZ · 🏸 Malaysia Int.Low · Slight Edge
MA
🇮🇩Muhamad Rizky Akbar
ELO 1512
FormW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Akbar
PA
🇹🇭Patcharakit Apiratchataset
ELO 1502
FormLWLW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Akbar
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Game score (games)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~85 pts
2-0
39%
0-2
33%
2-1
14%
1-2
14%
Elo Gap+10
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.